Golfstradamaus: Phoenix Open & Omega Dubai Desert Classic

“I want you all to take a good, hard look at Canadian Graham DeLaet. DeLaet had a career year in 2013 and is ready to Golfstradamaus_Article1claim his first win in 2014.”Golfstradamaus 1/22/14

So, DeLaet didn’t get the win in La Jolla but he did tie for second and I promise you, that first win is close. Actually, despite not predicting a victory, it was still a solid week for Golfstradamaus. Rafa Cabrera-Bello (T-3) and George Coetzee (T-5) had, as predicted, great weeks in the desert to go along with DeLaet’s runner-up at the Farmers. So I’m getting back in the groove and I smell victory this week.

Waste Managment Phoenix Open
TPC Scottsdale, Scottsdale, AZ
January 30- February 2, 2014

ODDS to Win:
Phil Mickelson 15/1
Webb Simpson 15/1
Keegan Bradley 20/1
Bubba Watson 25/1
Brandt Snedeker 25/1
Bill Haas 25/1
Harris English 25/1
Graham DeLaet 25/1
Hunter Mahan 30/1
Ryan Moore 25/1
Gary Woodland 30/1
Chris Kirk 30/1
Billy Horschel 30/1
Ryan Palmer 30/1
Matt Every 40/1
Marc Leishman 40/1
Charley Hoffman 40/1
Hideki Matsuyama 40/1
Rickie Fowler 40/1
Lee Westwood 50/1
Ian Poulter 50/1
Martin Kaymer 50/1
Nick Watney 50/1
K.J. Choi 50/1
Scott Piercy 50/1
Charles Howell III 50/1
Pat Perez 50/1
Brian Stuard 50/1
Patrick Reed 60/1
Brendan Steele 60/1
Robert Garrigus 60/1
Brendon de Jonge 60/1
Kevin Streelman 60/1
Scott Stallings 60/1
Kevin Na 60/1
Bo Van Pelt 80/1
Jason Kokrak 80/1
Nicolas Colsaerts 80/1
J.B. Holmes 80/1
Brian Gay 80/1
Jeff Overton 80/1
Justin Leonard 80/1
Ben Crane 80/1
Martin Laird 80/1
Matt Jones 80/1
Luke Guthrie 80/1
Rory Sabbatini 80/1
Padraig Harrington 80/1
Chris Stroud 100/1
Field (all others) 3/1

 

I’m sticking with Graham DeLaet this week in Phoenix because I really, truly believe that he’s going to break through and soon. At 25/1 this week, he’s still offering a great return for whatever you feel like putting down. DeLaet carries a lot of momentum this week after finishing 69-68 at Torrey Pines despite having missed the cut at the Waste Management last year.

Next up is Keegan Bradley. Bradley finished T-24 and T-15 in his first two appearances at the Waste Management Phoenix Open and finished T-16 last week at Torrey Pines, four shots shy of eventual winner Scott Stallings. Bradley knows how to get it done in pressure situations and I’m sure he’ll relish the chance to play the “stadium hole” and make a mark in one of the most electric settings all year that isn’t a major. At 20/1, Bradley is very low risk/high reward this week.

KeeganBradley

Back9Network’s Padraig Harrington made his first appearance in this event last year and turned in his first of three top-10 finishes of the season. Harrington needs a good finish (actually, a win would do him wonders) this week in Phoenix and based on his recent performance here and the 80/1 payout for a victory, He’s certainly worth a look this week.

The first time anyone really heard of Rickie Fowler, it was probably when he finished second in this event in 2010. Fowler had a brutal time at the Farmers last week, missing the cut and shooting 77 on Thursday. No matter, though, as I believe Fowler’s off-week at Torrey Pines. At 40/1, the juice is worth the squeeze with Rickie.

Omega Dubai Desert Classic  
Emirates Golf Club  
Dubai, United Arab Emirates  
Jan 30-Feb 2, 2014  
   
ODDS to Win:  
Rory McIlroy 7/2
Tiger Woods 6/1
Henrik Stenson 12/1
Rafael Cabrera Bello 25/1
Thorbjorn Olesen 25/1
Joost Luiten 30/1
Thomas Bjorn 30/1
Branden Grace 40/1
Alvaro Quiros 40/1
Peter Hanson 40/1
Jamie Donaldson 40/1
Stephen Gallacher 40/1
Ernie Els 50/1
Francesco Molinari 50/1
Romain Wattel 50/1
Paul Casey 60/1
Ross Fisher 60/1
Peter Uihlein 60/1
Robert Karlsson 60/1
Bernd Wiesberger 60/1
Tommy Fleetwood 60/1
Thongchai Jaidee 60/1
Miguel Angel Jimenez 60/1
Mikko Ilonen 60/1
Seung-Yul Noh 60/1
Matteo Manassero 80/1
Pablo Larrazabal 80/1
Chris Wood 80/1
Johan Carlsson 80/1
Steve Webster 80/1
Alejandro Canizares 80/1
Richard Sterne 100/1
Marcel Siem 100/1
Brooks Koepka 100/1
Danny Willett 100/1
Paul Lawrie 100/1
Simon Dyson 100/1
Shane Lowry 125/1
Raphael Jacquelin 125/1
Gregory Bourdy 125/1
Robert Rock 125/1
Scott Jamieson 150/1
Marcus Fraser 150/1
Julien Quesne 150/1
David Howell 150/1
Michael Hoey 150/1
Tom Lewis 150/1
Fred Couples 200/1
John Daly 300/1
Field (all others) 4/1

 

Anyone who thinks Tiger Woods is going to have back-to-back awful weeks is a fool and with Rory in the field this week, too, getting Woods while he’s paying 6/1 is a steal. There really isn’t much to say about Woods resume or his struggles last week since he’s arguably the most scrutinized athlete alive today, so I’ll just say “trust me,” and count on Tiger this week in the desert.

Tiger Woods Torrey Pines 600

Rafa Caberea-Bello has been playing like a man possessed these last two weeks and I think with a familiar course and favorable weather conditions that Cabrera-Bello is a very smart choice this week. If you believe in momentum you know that you’ve got to strike when the iron is hot and before people start paying too much attention. Right now He is technically one of the favorites at 25/1, but that’s still a massive payout compared to the 6/1 of Woods and the 7/2 for McIlroy.

It’s hard to ignore that success that Peter Hanson has had in the desert over the course of his career and I think it’s high time he turns those good finishes into a win. Hanson also has followed a bit of an odd trend; he’s claimed two wins a year every two years since 2008. If you’re smart, you’ll take the 40/1 odds this week and run with them.

peter-hanson-article

Speaking of Rory McIlroy, I’m not going to be the guy who picks against him this week. Rory has been hot ever since he proposed to Caroline Wozniacki and tying up a few other loose ends off the course. Yes, yes, 7/2 is not a terrific pay out but as I’ve said before, McIlroy is the closest thing you’ll find in this game to guaranteed money.

There you have it, kids. Another great week of golf around the world and you, with the secret betting weapon in your back pocket: Me! I wish the best of luck to you all but most specifically to those mentioned here. Golfers I chose. If you’re reading this, please, pick it up. I need a win in the worst way.

Sincerely,

– Golfstradamaus

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