Golfstradamaus: The Greenbrier Classic

This week, the PGA Tour is in West Virginia for the Greenbrier Classic at the Greenbrier Resort. Last year, Jonas Blixt claimed his second career win on the PGA Tour, finishing at 13-under, besting tour winners Steven Bowditch, Matt Jones, Johnson Wagner and Jimmy Walker by two. 

The Greenbrier Classic hasn’t been around long — four years to be exact. And in that short time, the event has produced four guys who can certainly be described as “surprise” winners. Sure, Stuart Appleby had won eight times previously on the PGA Tour, but it took a magnificent final-round 59 to get it done on the Old White TPC Course in 2010. Stallings, Potter, Jr., and Blixt were all relatively unknown when they won, and I expect most contenders this year to be guys you don’t normally see at the top of the leaderboard. So get your pencils ready because not all of these guys are household names … yet. 

The Greenbrier Classic
Old White TPC, White Sulphur Springs, West Virigina
July 3-6, 2014

ODDS to Win:
Bubba Watson 10/1
Jimmy Walker 12/1
Webb Simpson 20/1
Bill Haas 20/1
Keegan Bradley 25/1
Brendon Todd 25/1
Kevin Na 25/1
Steve Stricker 30/1
Brendon de Jonge 30/1
Marc Leishman 30/1
Gary Woodland 30/1
Patrick Reed 30/1
Chris Kirk 40/1
Brendan Steele 40/1
Chris Stroud 40/1
Ben Martin 40/1
Jonas Blixt 50/1
K.J. Choi 50/1
Nick Watney 50/1
Daniel Summerhays 50/1
J.B. Holmes 50/1
Carl Pettersson 50/1
Charles Howell III 60/1
David Hearn 60/1
Shawn Stefani 60/1
Scott Stallings 80/1
Cameron Tringale 80/1
George McNeill 80/1
Kevin Chappell 80/1
Peter Hanson 80/1
Angel Cabrera 80/1
Andres Romero 80/1
Rory Sabbatini 80/1
Pat Perez 80/1
Brian Harman 100/1
John Huh 100/1
Brian Davis 100/1
Scott Langley 100/1
Morgan Hoffmann 100/1
Ted Potter, Jr 100/1
Steven Bowditch 100/1
Thorbjorn Olesen 125/1
Martin Flores 125/1
Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 125/1
Luke Guthrie 125/1
Bud Cauley 125/1
Stuart Appleby 125/1
Patrick Cantlay 250/1
Tom Watson 500/1
Field (all others) 2/1

 

The first guy I’m taking this week is Morgan Hoffmann. The Oklahoma State product had been known more for his clever wedge stamps than his play until this year. In 2014, Hoffmann has enjoyed nearly every success except a win. He’s collected five top-25 finishes on the campaign and I really think he could turn some heads this week in White Sulphur Springs. At 100/1, a smart play and a big week from Hoffmann could make you very wealthy for a little while. 

Morgan Hoffmann anchor

This next guy is a little more of a sure thing than Hoffmann. Jimmy Walker has already had himself a season that anyone not named Tiger Woods or Phil Mickelson would envy. Walker already has three wins, is a shoe-in for the Ryder Cup team and is the current FedExCup point leader entering this week’s Greenbrier Classic, where he has finished in the top-4 three times. At 12/1 you’d better bet heavy if you want to make much, but if you’re just looking for something safe this week, Walker is your guy. 

Jimmy Walker Pebble Beach anchor

Sometimes, when a guy is good … he’s good. And in the case of Jonas Blixt at the Greenbrier, he’s really good. Blixt played some great golf on Sunday last year at the Greenbrier to claim his second career PGA Tour victory. Since that win, Blixt has been phenomenal, finishing solo fourth at last year’s PGA Championship and T-2 at this years Masters. At 50/1, you’d be very wise to bet big on Blixt this week. 

jonas-blixt-article

It may not be scientific and honestly, there’s no real reason to think he can get it done this week at the Greenbrier, but a nagging voice somewhere is telling me that Pat Perez is going to have a good week in West Virginia. He hasn’t played great lately, but he’s always seemed to be a guy who goes low … like, really low,  and without much warning. At 80/1, a Perez victory would be a surprise almost as big as the pay day for picking him. 

pat-perez-anchor

The last name this week, is actually two guys. The Brendon’s; de Jonge and Steele, are both wonderful picks at the Greenbrier. Both players have been playing some really good golf lately and both probably deserve a win by now. I think either is a solid mid-level bet to make this week. Steele is getting 40/1 money this week; de Jonge, 30/1, making them both great low risk, high reward picks for the gambler who is already in the dog house and is looking for a way back to the top.

There you have it, kids. There isn’t much else to say. Just remember, I can only make suggestions and you’re responsible for your choices, not me. All I can tell you is to go and choose wisely.

-Golfstradamaus. 

Past Prophecies: Golfstradamaus Archieve

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