Golfstradamus: AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am

While the forecast calls for more and more snow in the northeast, the PGA Tour heads up the California coast to the “most felicitous meeting of land and sea in creation” — Pebble Beach Golf Links — for the AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am. Celebrities and pros alike will tackle the world famous layout, vying for both individual and team honors. 

Last year, I predicted (correctly, thank you) that Jimmy Walker would pick up career win No. 3. This year, he’s high on my list, but not the only player I’ve got money on. If you’d like to make a couple last-minute shekels to make up for the $172 you paid for a dozen roses for Valentine’s Day this weekend, then get your pencils ready and take some good notes. 

AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am
Pebble Beach/Monterey Peninsula CC/Spyglass Hill, Pebble Beach, Calif.
February 12-15, 2015

ODDS to Win:
Jason Day 8/1
Jimmy Walker 8/1
Jordan Spieth 12/1
Dustin Johnson 15/1
Patrick Reed 15/1
Brandt Snedeker 25/1
Hunter Mahan 25/1
Ryan Palmer 25/1
Jim Furyk 30/1
Graham DeLaet 30/1
Chris Kirk 30/1
Nick Watney 30/1
J.B. Holmes 40/1
Kevin Na 40/1
Brendon Todd 40/1
Billy Horschel 50/1
Ian Poulter 50/1
Shane Lowry 50/1
Jason Kokrak 50/1
Kevin Streelman 60/1
Alexander Levy 60/1
Spencer Levin 60/1
Ernie Els 80/1
Aaron Baddeley 80/1
Rory Sabbatini 80/1
Kevin Chappell 80/1
Pat Perez 80/1
Bryce Molder 80/1
Michael Thompson 100/1
Daniel Summerhays 100/1
Marcel Siem 100/1
Seung-Yul Noh 100/1
Daniel Berger 100/1
Zac Blair 100/1
Alex Prugh 100/1
Matt Jones 100/1
Jonas Blixt 125/1
Colt Knost 125/1
Scott Langley 125/1
Chesson Hadley 125/1
Bo Van Pelt 125/1
Steven Bowditch 150/1
David Hearn 150/1
Robert Garrigus 150/1
Padraig Harrington 150/1
Cameron Smith 200/1
Oliver Goss 250/1
David Duval 500/1
John Daly 500/1
Field (all others) 5/2

It could be deja vu all over again this week at Pebble Beach with Jimmy Walker coming in hot. Except for perhaps Jason Day, Walker is the hottest hand on tour, having already collected a win and four top-1o finishes on the 2015 campaign. No shock here, he’s the favorite at 8/1, but if you like being right even if it won’t make you rich, bet on Jimmy Walker. 

jimmy-walker-anchor

Next up is Nick Watney. The Northern Californian is nothing if he’s not inconsistent. In his last five starts, he’s missed three cuts and posted a top-15 and top-10 finish. Last week, he shot 71-65-72-73 at Torrey Pines. Not exactly awe-inspiring, but if you know anything about inconsistency (and having been stuck behind you at the local muni track, I know you do!) you know it’s time to place a little wager on Watney.

Don’t go crazy, but at 30/1 any bet is worthwhile. 

The third name this week is Alexander Levy. Levy has already enjoyed a solid 2015 on the European Tour and is looking for his first win on the PGA Tour. Remember how close Frenchman Gregory Havret came to claiming U.S. Open glory at Pebble in 2010? Levy could be primed to get some payback in honor of their home nation this week and at 60/1, you’d be remiss not to take a look. 

And finally, Ryan Palmer. Few players have been as consistently good this year as Ryan Palmer has and it’s about time he collects a victory. At 25/1, you’re getting a nice payout for a guy who very easily could be getting 15/1 or 10/1. 

Ryan Palmer

Draft Kings

I’ll admit, I’m still getting used to the Draft Kings format and thus, am not-yet rolling in the greenbacks. That all changes this week. I have assembled a team far superior to yours. Want me to prove it to you? Head over to DraftKings.com and join the PGA $40K Chip Shot and see how you measure up against ol’ Golfstradamus. Here’s a look at the winning team: 

Dustin Johnson
Ryan Palmer
Hunter Mahan
Alexander Levy
David Duval
William McGirt

There you have it friends and degenerate wagerers. Until next time, go and choose wisely. 

– Golfstradamus. 

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