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Golfstrdamus: WGC-Mexico Championship

Hola, friends and degenerates! This week, the world’s best put California in their rearview mirrors and head south of the border for the first World Golf Championship of the calendar year — the WGC-Mexico Championship. 

Last year, Phil Mickelson ended a 101-start winless streak by taking down Justin Thomas in a playoff. This year, Lefty heads to Club de Golf Chapultepec having already picked up a win on the campaign. He’s simply looking to stay hot in Mexico. 

Speaking of Justin Thomas, he’s looking to rebound from a disappointing final round at the Genesis Open last week and seeking some redemption here after his aforementioned playoff loss last year. 

For bettors, the WGC events always offer a unique opportunity. Short fields with no cuts mean the odds of making some serious cash improve immensely. 

So, who will be pounding celebratory tequila shots on Sunday night? Here’s a look at your can’t-miss, sure-fire, no-doubt, mortal locks for the WGC-Mexico Championship:

WGC-Mexico Championship
Club de Golf Chapultepec – Mexico City, Mexico
February 21 – 24, 2019
(Courtesy: GolfOdds.com)

ODDS to Win:
Dustin Johnson 10/1
Justin Thomas 10/1
Rory McIlroy 12/1
Jon Rahm 16/1
Bryson DeChambeau 16/1
Rickie Fowler 18/1
Brooks Koepka 20/1
Tiger Woods 20/1
Xander Schauffele 25/1
Tony Finau 25/1
Hideki Matsuyama 25/1
Jordan Spieth 30/1
Phil Mickelson 30/1
Marc Leishman 30/1
Tommy Fleetwood 30/1
Paul Casey 30/1
Patrick Cantlay 30/1
Webb Simpson 30/1
Gary Woodland 40/1
Bubba Watson 40/1
Sergio Garcia 40/1
Francesco Molinari 50/1
Matt Kuchar 50/1
Patrick Reed 50/1
Rafael Cabrera Bello 50/1
Cameron Smith 50/1
Charles Howell III 50/1
Ian Poulter 50/1
Haotong Li 60/1
Henrik Stenson 60/1
Louis Oosthuizen 60/1
Tyrrell Hatton 60/1
Alex Noren 80/1
Byeong Hun An 80/1
Matt Wallace 80/1
Shane Lowry 80/1
Matthew Fitzpatrick 80/1
Lee Westwood 80/1
Billy Horschel 80/1
Russell Knox 80/1
Branden Grace 100/1
Thorbjorn Olesen 100/1
Joost Luiten 100/1
Keegan Bradley 100/1
Kevin Kisner 100/1
Emiliano Grillo 80/1
Chez Reavie 100/1
Tom Lewis 100/1
Abraham Ancer 125/1
Kevin Na 125/1
Aaron Wise 125/1
Danny Willett 125/1
Lucas Bjerregaard 150/1
Eddie Pepperell 150/1
Patton Kizzire 150/1
Kiradech Aphibarnrat 150/1
Shubhankar Sharma 150/1
Aaron Rai 150/1
Kyle Stanley 200/1
Alexander Bjork 200/1
Shugo Imahira 250/1
David Lipsky 250/1
Richard Sterne 250/1
Erik Van Rooyen 300/1
George Coetzee 300/1
Satoshi Kodaira 300/1
Sanghyun Park 300/1
Jake McLeod 300/1
Shaun Norris 300/1
Matthew Millar 300/1
Adrian Otaegui 250/1
Ryan Fox 150/1

Mortal Locks:

Dustin Johnson – The 2017 winner of this event may be the favorite this week, but he’s still worth putting your money on. Johnson’s scoring average of 67.73 is a testament to the fact that he loves this golf course — and you know how I feel about horses for courses. At 10/1, DJ is about as sure a thing as there is this week south of the border.

Rory McIlroy – If he can ever get the putter going in the right direction consistently, McIlroy will be a force once again. He’s opened the season T-4, T-5, T-4, so he’s trending in the right direction for sure. We saw a flash of that brilliance at Riviera on Saturday. Hopefully for McIlroy and his fans, it’s a sign of things to come. At 12/1, this could be the week the Irishman returns to the top. 

Best Bets: 

Marc Leishman — Don’t sleep on Big Leish this week. The Aussie talent has very quietly been playing some great golf in the early part of 2019 and looks to keep it going at Club de Golf Chapultepec. In his last seven starts, Leishman has collected five top-4 finishes, including a T-4 last week at Riviera. At 30/1, he’s impossible to ignore. 

Rafael Cabrera Bello — Now, I wouldn’t exactly say Rafael Cabrera Bello is a powder keg waiting to explode or anything, but he has been playing solid enough golf and is getting great odds this week at the WGC-Mexico championship. Those two points of fact are enough have me intrigued. Cabrera Bello is 5-5 this season with four top-25 finishes. He returns to this event seeking a little redemption after missing last year’s playoff by a single stroke. At 50/1 the Spaniard is a great sleeper. 

Fun Under $5: 

Matt Kuchar – Already a winner in Mexico on the 2018-19 season, Matt Kuchar is my out-on-a-limb bet this week at the WGC-Mexico Championship. Despite winning twice already this year, Kuchar hasn’t been quite as sharp in recent weeks. Up against a short field at the Club de Golf Chapultepec, Kuchar at 50/1 is a great choice. 

There you have it, friends and degenerates. Now if you’ll excuse me, I’m off to find my sombrero and passport. Win, lose or draw I’m long overdue for good night’s sleep on a beach in Tijuana. 

Until next time, go and choose wisely…

-Golfstradamus. 

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