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Golfstradamaus: Sony Open and Volvo Golf Champions

“[Zach] Johnson would be a great choice this week at 12/1. With the way he’s played lately, it’s hard to believe there are four guys getting less money this week than Zach Johnson.”Golfstradamaus 12/31/13

Golfstradamaus_Article1It may be a new year, but I’m still the same old Golfstradamaus, and that means if you were smart enough to listen up last week, you’ve started off 2014 in the win column. To you, dear readers, congratulations and you’re welcome. For everyone else, get your [stuff] together!

With the Hyundai Tournament of Champions finishing on Monday, it’s a short turnaround for the PGA Tour guys before this week’s Sony Open at Waialae Country Club in Honolulu. For the European Tour guys, a normal week leading up to the Volvo Golf Champions in South Africa.

Alright kids, have those pens and paper ready, because I’m going to give you some gems again.

Sony Open in Hawaii
Waialae Country Club – Honolulu, Hawaii
January 9 – 12, 2014

ODDS to Win:
Adam Scott 15/2
Zach Johnson 10/1
Matt Kuchar 12/1
Jordan Spieth 15/1
Jason Dufner 20/1
Charles Howell III 20/1
Tim Clark 20/1
Harris English 20/1
Chris Kirk 25/1
Hideki Matsuyama 30/1
Jimmy Walker 30/1
Brendon de Jonge 40/1
Marc Leishman 40/1
Brian Gay 40/1
Rory Sabbatini 50/1
Scott Piercy 50/1
Boo Weekley 50/1
John Senden 50/1
Bo Van Pelt 50/1
K.J. Choi 50/1
Brian Stuard 50/1
Matt Every 60/1
Chris Stroud 50/1
Jeff Overton 60/1
Ryan Palmer 60/1
Ryo Ishikawa 60/1
Roberto Castro 60/1
Russell Henley 60/1
John Huh 60/1
Carl Pettersson 60/1
Vijay Singh 60/1
David Hearn 80/1
Michael Thompson 80/1
John Rollins 80/1
John Peterson 80/1
Scott Brown 80/1
Kevin Na 80/1
Jerry Kelly 80/1
Sean O’Hair 100/1
Retief Goosen 100/1
Pat Perez 100/1
Seung-Yul Noh 100/1
Mark Wilson 100/1
Chesson Hadley 100/1
D.A. Points 100/1
Morgan Hoffmann 150/1
Bud Cauley 150/1
Kenny Perry 200/1
Guan Tianlang 1000/1
Field (all others) 7/2

 
If there’s one thing that seems to happen early every year, it’s the emergence of a first-time winner. Or a guy who’s tasted the spoils of victory, but not for some time and finds pay dirt once again. This week, that guy could very well be Charles Howell III. Howell has won twice on tour but not since the Nissan Open in 2007. He got off to a hot start last year, finishing T-3 in this event, T-2 at the Humana and T-9 at the Farmers. At 20/1, he’s a good bet to have a solid week at the Sony.

Related Link: Adam Scott Favorite To Win Sony Open

Jordan Spieth continues to turn heads, finishing second at last week’s Hyundai Tournament of Champions and I see no reason why he can’t remain hot. Few players on tour are as consistent as Spieth and I think that means he stays on a roll in Hawaii. At 15/1, the payout isn’t huge but that’s because the talented youngster is no longer a secret.

5 Reasons Spieth Belongs on the 2013 Presidents Cup Team

If you’re looking to make something from nothing (almost literally), then you’d be foolish not to put a couple bucks down on veteran Pat Perez. Perez has played in this tournament every year since 2004 and has had quite a bit of success here. He hasn’t won this tournament (or any since the Humana in 2009, when he claimed his only career win) but he’s finished T-4 in this tournament (2008) and T-20 or better four more times, including T-9 here last year. At 100/1, it’s hard to argue against putting something, anything, on a guy with this much experience on one track.

Lastly, I think it’s time for Scott Piercy to win again. He’s historically played well in Hawaii at both the Sony Open and the Hyundai Tournament of Champions, finishing T-23 or better in five of his last six starts on the islands. Piercy also made a run at major glory at the PGA Championship last fall and at 50/1, Piercy is certainly worth a serious look.

Volvo Golf Champions   
Durban Country Club   
Duran, South Africa   
January 9-12, 2014

ODDS to Win:  
Charl Schwartzel 11/4
Louis Oosthuizen 10/1
Jamie Donaldson 10/1
Thomas Bjorn 12/1
Miguel Angel Jimenez 15/1
Joost Luiten 15/1
Branden Grace 20/1
Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 25/1
Victor Dubuisson 25/1
Paul Casey 25/1
Robert Karlsson 25/1
Matteo Manassero 30/1
Peter Uihlein 30/1
Kiradech Aphibarnrat 30/1
Richard Sterne 40/1
Chris Wood 40/1
Stephen Gallacher 40/1
Julien Quesne 40/1
Tommy Fleetwood 40/1
David Lynn 50/1
Padraig Harrington 50/1
Marcel Siem 60/1
Mikko Ilonen 60/1
Morten Orum Madsen 60/1
Darren Fichardt 60/1
Thomas Aiken 60/1
Raphael Jacquelin 60/1
David Howell 60/1
Brett Rumford 60/1
Michael Hoey 100/1
Jin Jeong 100/1
Dawie van der Walt 125/1
Darren Clarke 150/1
Simon Thornton 250/1
Colin Montgomerie 250/1
Jose Maria Olazabal 250/1

 
Well, another tournament in South Africa, another tournament where Charl Schwartzel is favored. At 11/4, the payout is terrible but considering the track record the 2011 Masters champ has playing in his native land, it’s almost (I repeat, almost) guaranteed money. When Schwartzel is playing in South Africa, he is as close to a mortal lock as you can get in golf.

Charl-Schwartzel

Frenchman Victor Dubuisson, however, is someone who could take away the title from Schwartzel this week. Dubuisson used to be a guy that went off at 60/1, 80/1, etc., but since his win at the Turkish Airlines Open late last fall and the couple weeks leading up to it, Dubuisson is on his way to becoming a bona-fide star on the European Tour. At 25/1, he is worth a couple shekels.

Everybody’s favorite golfer, Miguel Angel Jimenez, is installed at 15/1 this week and I like him to celebrate his birthday 50th birthday in style by winning. Jimenez has proved that despite his age, he can still compete at the highest level. He made a run at the Open Championship last summer, and just this past fall, successfully defended his Hong Kong Open title. Jimenez is worth more than a passing glance this week.

Migue Angel Jimenez anchor

Peter Uihlein is my last choice this week. The American put together a solid season on the European Tour, collecting his first win and two runner-up finishes as part of eight top 10s during the year. Uihlein is a star in the making and this could very well be the week he picks up career win No. 2. At 30/1, be sure to give the young American a look.

There you have it, kids. Please, try to curb your pride for the sake of your wallet and just trust me for a change this week, OK? As always, I can only make suggestions, but I hope you go and choose wisely…

 – Golfstradamaus

Related Links: Spieth, Johnson to Race John Deere Golf Carts?

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